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Raising 135 might very well win when a worthless scare card falls. raising against a possible semi-bluff is so much better than calling except in the three situations described at the end of the last chapter ; that unless you can raise, you're usually better off folding. frequently a semi-bluff raise is indicated even though a call would be clearly unprofitable. let's say you have a four-flush with one card to come. you know the odds against making the flush are 4-to-1, and your opponent bets into a pot. that is, he's offering you 3-to-1 odds on a 4-to-1 shot. you cannot usually call the bet since a call has negative expectation unless you are almost sure of winning a double bet on the end when you hit the flush. in 100 identical situations you will win only 20 times on average and lose 80 times. that is, you will win 20 times for a total of , 200, and you will lose 80 times for a total of $ 1, 600. your net loss will be 0 or per hand. so the decision is clear. people who make such calls are perennial losers. of course, if you fold, you lose nothing beyond the money you put into the pot in earlier betting rounds. but suppose you read your opponent to be weak -- to have, say, only one pair, and you figure there's a 25 percent chance that opponent will fold instantly if you raise. now, although a call has negative expectation, a semi-bluff raise becomes a profitable play. we'll work it out over 100 average hands, discounting any bets on the end. your opponent will fold 25 times, and you steal for a total of , 500. he will call you 75 times, but one-fifth of those times you'll make the flush to beat him. thus, 15 times you'll win the in the pot plus your opponent's call of your raise ; for a total of , 200. the remaining 60 times you'll lose your call and raise ; for a total loss of , 400. after 100 such plays, then, you figure to win , 700 , 500 plus , 200 ; and lose , 400 for an average net profit of 0 and a mathematical expectation of per play. the difference between calling incorrectly and raising correctly is a swing of -- from.
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As we are almost through with the winter months, we are preparing for the new season which is coming upon us rather quickly. here is an update on our club: 2006 boat races cancelled unfortunately, the planned power boat races on may 6th & 7th had to be cancelled. we received word from the american power boat association apba ; that they were unable to obtain enough sponsorship to facilitate the race. the apba will be working on securing sponsorship for a spring 2007 race at lake forest. although the races were cancelled, we will have a busy weekend at the club on may 5th & 6th. friday may 5th will be the lfyc semi-annual meeting and on saturday, may 6th will have a texas hold'em have extended saturday hours night at the club. see the de- which are now 9 to 1 pm. tails in this month's social pages. lake forest website new lfyc office manager our new website lfyc & new office hours is now available for our memwe have hired jennifer nielsen bers to access information on as our new office manager, our club. we have been workreplacing susan bilyk who re- ing on this site for the past 60 signed effective january 28th. days and will continue to be we reopened the office on updating it with more informafebruary 9th with jennifer han- tion for our club members. dling the office responsibilities. some of the areas are still unjennifer has an associates de- der construction as we congree in business management tinue to add content, so please and has adapted very well to be patient as we continue to the office procedures and com- update it. our web designer is puter system. we are very tony d'alauro, who is also a pleased to have her working new lake forest resident and with us at the club. club member. we are all very thankful to tony for helping us we also have changed the ofwith this project and building fice hours from morning hours the site for the club. look for to evening hours on weekdays. more details on our new weboffice hours are now 5: 30 site in a separate article in this to 8: 30 tuesday and porthole. thursday evenings. we also house chairperson and club rentals after many years as our house chairperson in charge of club rentals, grace bacorn, recently relinquished that role which she has served our community so well for many years. grace has relocated outside of our community which is why she has given up the house responsibilities. the lfyc board and club members would like to thank grace for her many years volunteering as house chairperson and the service she provided our community. we wish her all the best. donna combos has agreed to fill the role as house chairperson for our community. she has the club rental book and can help you book your private function. at 0 per rental and online poker uk.
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